Putin's forces are on the move

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Next convoy smoke – Ukraine strikes again. In the south of the country every tank has a bitter fight.

Zaporizhia – Anxious question: What are the Russians doing now? Avdivka is currently a victim Ukraine warBut which way do you recommend Vladimir Putin Now one? If the capture of this small town would exhaust Russian strength, as it did at Pakmut, the Ukrainians would have an opportunity to mobilize and regroup their forces. After all, it sets Ukraine vs Russia Tireless needle pricks – etc Newsweek Report: Later, Ukrainian drones destroyed a convoy with 18 armored vehicles – including three battle tanks – near Zaporizhia. Video of this goes viral – The video comes from official sources, but there is no verifiable information.

Action in the South: A Ukrainian soldier from the 47th Mechanized Regiment “Magura” in a Bradley infantry fighting vehicle. © IMAGO/Dmytro Smolienko

Also, the Ukrainian military announced that it had repelled a major airstrike by the Russian military in the Zaporizhia region. The Ukrainian Air Force said: Russian forces launched 14 drones and ten missiles overnight at targets in this part of Ukraine. 12 drones and one missile were intercepted. According to Ukrainian media, at least two people were killed in Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.

Russia can now focus on recovering areas in the south: the leadership of the Ukrainian army said recently NewsweekIt said it had repelled a dozen attacks on its positions around the Zaporizhia village of Robotine. The Royal United Services Company For Security and Defense Studies (RUSI) Russia continues to pursue its strategic goal of total subjugation of Ukraine and considers victory certain after the capture of Avdiivka.

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Robotine: Russia is moving forward again in the Ukraine war

The Russian Defense Ministry has now announced that it has shot down 70 Ukrainian soldiers and an armored personnel carrier in a front area that includes Robotyn and the nearby village of Verbov. Newsweek The American think tank continues to report on its findings Institute for War Studies (ISW), Russian forces advanced west of Zaporizhia and recaptured a position south of Robotin. Several Russian military bloggers simultaneously reported Moscow's new offensive around the village and that Kremlin forces had “seriously attacked this settlement.” ISW reported.

Ukraine took control of Robotine in late August as part of its counteroffensive in the summer of 2023 — the most concrete result of its counteroffensive.

The surrender terms currently being proposed by Russian mediators would see Ukraine cede territory already under Russian control, as well as some areas around Kharkiv and Odessa. Russia is also demanding that Ukraine avoid joining NATO and appoint a head of state of its own choosing. In return, Russia allows the rest of Ukraine into the EU.

Victory at Avdiivka: A Milestone in Putin's Campaign in the Ukrainian War

As American political scientist John Mearsheimer told the Journal, the consensus among academics is that the positions of the two adversaries are incompatible. Cicero Explained: Russia has no desire to return Crimea and four other regions in eastern Ukraine to Ukraine; Ukraine wants to take back these areas completely. “So, when you talk about Ukraine's relations with the West and the territorial dispute between Kiev and Moscow, you soon realize that there is no way to reconcile the different views and conclude a meaningful peace agreement,” he says – a gloomy forecast.

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Russia lost a significant number of armored vehicles in the first weeks of the offensive on Avdiivka, and Western analysts suspected that Moscow's forces there had switched to infantry attacks to protect their armor — perhaps the definitive result of Ukrainian delaying tactics. “Ukrainian defenders inflicted heavy losses on the enemy and destroyed significant reserves of Russian aggressors, which they planned to use for offensive operations in other areas of the front,” said the opposite. Newsweek Brigadier General Oleksandr Tarnovsky. Turnavsky, the commander of the Ukrainian Tavria group that fought at Avdiivka. Seen in this light, any loss of Russian people or material gives Ukraine breathing room.

Ukraine relies on a smattering of NATO countries

But only with reservations: British intelligence doubted that Russia's industry was capable of producing at least one of its own every month. 100 battle tanks to be produced – Not to mention Air Force and Navy. It will cover current losses. The Russians managed to significantly reduce their tank losses in 2022 compared to the first year of the war, according to X (formerly Twitter) British. This is your desperate decision severe: Although recent offensives have yielded only small gains for the Russians on the ground, they “can continue offensive operations of this magnitude for the foreseeable future.”

This in turn puts Western powers under great pressure to act: Russian assertiveness relies on confidence in Western reluctance to give Ukraine more than it already has – from Jack Watling Russian leading to the thesis. “If Ukraine's partners continue to provide its military with sufficient ammunition and training support to mitigate Russian attacks in 2024, Russia is unlikely to achieve significant success in 2025. If Russia sees no chance of success in 2025 due to its inability to improve the quality of its armed forces for offensive operations, this means that it will be difficult to force Kiev to surrender by 2026.” .

After 2026, Watling believes mutual disengagement will extinguish Russia's fighting power. (Carsten Hinzmann)

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