Germany is arming itself: A secret document shows how the Bundeswehr could prevent a possible Russian attack. Preparations are already underway.
BERLIN – Decades of resolve in Germany have been shattered by Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine. As President Olaf Scholes (SPD) said, this is how a new era began. He stressed the need to strengthen the Bundeswehr and defense spending. Germany has supplied arms to Ukraine several times.
Boris Pistorius (SPD), the federal defense minister, reportedly created a specific scenario to prepare the Bundeswehr for a possible Russian attack. The Build Newspaper Exclusively reported on the alleged secret document, the authenticity of which is yet to be confirmed by the Defense Ministry. This is an imaginary scenario. In fact, the Union Defense Ministry plans to send a contingent of around 5,000 soldiers to NATO country Lithuania from 2025 to bolster the NATO alliance and deter Russia.
There is no word on the possibility of a collision with Russia
Die off Build Newspaper He cannot estimate the probability of the scenario from the secret sheet. A spokesman did not provide any information about the possible document, but only made a general statement: “Basically, I can tell you that considering different scenarios, even if they are highly unlikely, is part of everyday military business, especially training. .” The Build The footage released appears to be training material intended to prepare the German military for the worst possible emergency.
Under this scenario, the Bundeswehr will prepare for Russia to mobilize an additional 200,000 soldiers before February 2024. Absent Western arms support, Russia could make a decisive breakthrough in Ukraine by the spring of 2024 and prepare targeted cyber attacks on the West by early summer.
A scene like the beginning of the war in Ukraine
And, in this situation, Russia will start another kind of hybrid war: it will try to provoke the Russian minorities in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, which will lead to conflict. Russia may use this as an excuse to escalate further.
In September, Russia will host a large-scale exercise called “Zapad 2024” and deploy 50,000 soldiers in western Russia and Belarus. Loud Build From there, a troop deployment on the border with NATO countries Poland and Lithuania would not be far away. The scene is reminiscent of the start of the war in Ukraine.
30,000 soldiers from Germany ready for emergency
The deployment of troops would begin by presenting a threat scenario to Russia's Kaliningrad exclave. At the same time, the weakness of the United States after the election will be suspected (interim result Joe Biden And Donald Trump) in September 2024 to cause unrest in the so-called Suwalki Gap with many deaths and to relocate more troops. This propaganda may convey to Russians that ethnic Russians here are also threatened by the West.
In response, NATO will be forced to halt potential expansion by May 2025. 300,000 NATO troops, including 30,000 from Germany, would then be transferred to the eastern flank. The exercise scenario culminates with the relocation of German units to the Baltic states.
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