It can be assumed that the US secret services are well aware of everything that is happening in the war in Ukraine. May be significantly better than the Ukrainians. Based on US intelligence findings, Washington has warned of an imminent Russian attack on Ukraine in December 2021. At that time, no one wanted to believe that even in Kiev, not the federal government, there were serious doubts.
However, in retrospect, the forecasts of the US services turned out to be correct. In fact, they were so accurate and detailed that the individual planned actions of the Russian forces were accurately predicted, which helped the invasion fail so badly in many places. Therefore, at the beginning of the war, several planes with paratroopers prevented the landing of Russian elite troops, and some were shot down. Later successes by the Ukrainian military included targeted attacks on Russian commanders and the sinking of a Russian flagship Moscow In April 2022, it may be due to the help of US intelligence agencies, although in many cases this cannot be said for sure.
US intelligence provides real-time intelligence to Ukraine
However, it is now established that the US is exchanging information with Ukraine, sometimes in real time, that is also being used for military operations. US intelligence officials confirmed this last spring The New York Times. “Dynamic targeting” or “joint targeting” is the name of this method, but it has never been used so intensively in practice. This very close cooperation between the United States and Ukraine did not please all international partners: when it was confirmed, the question quickly arose of where the line for participation in the conflict is in such a serious exchange. The US responded that it would only help Ukraine defend itself and share information. There is every indication that the Ukrainian leadership is still deciding when and where its armed forces will strike. However, this collaboration is unprecedented.
It’s unclear how exactly Americans collect their data. Drones, like the ones that fell in the Black Sea, certainly play an important role in monitoring troop movements. However, as this incident also shows, their use is limited and associated with risks. Satellite data is very important. It is unclear exactly what capabilities the United States has in this regard. However, it can be assumed that they have high-resolution images of the battlefield in Ukraine and accurate information about missile trajectories.
Because the United States has always been well aware of the locations of Russian troops, as the warnings showed when Russia was massing its forces on the Ukrainian border before the war began. When a missile hit Polish territory last November, the US was quick to say that, based on the trajectory, it was not a Russian cruise missile, but an errant Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile. And that probably turned out to be true. It is not confirmed whether the Americans have information directly from Russia and whether US Secret Service agents are stationed in Ukraine. But both are possible.
The British Secret Service is also very active
Stands out next to the Americans since the start of the war British Military Intelligence Service outside. He is also likely to share a lot of information with Ukraine. He publishes assessments of the course of the war every day in a short post on social networks, which has proven to be very reliable over the past year. It also aims to counter Russian propaganda and targeted disinformation.
The German Federal Intelligence Service also shares information with Ukraine, but not as directly and intensively as the Americans. As with other secret services, capabilities can be limited. So the US information on the war against Russia cannot be adapted to Ukraine. Without them, Kiev would have been lost long ago.
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