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Kamala Harris is likely to run for the Democratic Party in the US elections. Does he have a chance of winning against Trump? A look at polls.
WASHINGTON, DC – It’s now official: Joe Biden will no longer be running for the 2024 US election. For this he nominated his vice chancellor, Kamala Harris, as the Democratic candidate. Almost all major Democrats have already thrown their support behind Harris. With this the election campaign has started again. Either way, early polls make it clear that Harris could be running against Donald Trump.
His poor polling numbers may also be a factor in Biden’s sudden exit from the race. According to government sources, Biden has been actively reviewing the latest studies recently, the news agency reported. Reuters reported. The data would have indicated that the chances of a successful re-election were decreasing. Then it was decided to withdraw at short notice.
What the current polls say about the battle between Harris and Trump in the US election
How does Kamala Harris get into a direct fight with Donald Trump? So far there are only a few studies. But their chances of success are definitely there. So Harris and Trump were together ReutersIpsos polls from July 15 and 16 tied national support at 44 percent each. The survey also asked about preferences when deciding between Trump and Biden. Here, Trump was leading with 43 percent, compared to the current president’s 41 percent.
In other national polls, Trump is currently slightly ahead of Harris. However, let’s not forget that Harris has so far only campaigned as Biden’s vice president. So it’s very possible that these numbers will change soon after Biden withdraws. The average of the surveys shows the loudness CNN A neck-and-neck race between Harris and Trump. Accordingly, Trump gets 48%, Harris 47%. Here is a brief overview of current studies:
Nationwide Poll for 2024 US Election: Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump – Who Will Win?
| Reuters/Ipsos | 44 | 44 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 48 | 51 |
| ABC News/The Washington Post/Ipsos | 49 | 47 |
| NBC News | 45 | 47 |
| Fox News | 48 | 49 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 50 | 49 |
| CNN//SSRS | 45 | 47 |
Harris is stronger than Biden in the polls for the 2024 US election
According to the current survey NBC News Biden and Harris lead Trump by two percentage points nationally, but the survey found some important differences between different demographic groups. For one thing, Harris did slightly better than Biden among blacks, leading Trump by 64 percentage points in that demographic (78% to 14%). By comparison: Biden leads among black voters by 57 percentage points (69% to 12%).
On the other hand, the survey showed NBC News, Trump is doing slightly better among whites compared to Harris than Biden: He leads Harris by 16 points, while he leads Biden by 14 points. In other demographic categories — age, gender — there was no difference between Biden and Harris.
Biden, Harris, and Trump have roughly equally high positive-negative values
Census by NBC News It also showed that Biden, Harris and Trump achieved nearly the same number of positive and negative ratings among eligible voters.
- Trump: 38% positive, 53% negative (-15 net rating)
- Biden: 36% positive, 53% negative (-17 net rating)
- Harris: 32% positive, 50% negative (-18 net rating)
It will be a hot one in the US election campaign
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While Harris fared slightly worse in this poll, 15 percent of respondents said they were “neutral” toward Biden, compared to 11 percent who were neutral. This suggests that Harris is likely to gain approval among this small group of voters in the middle. (CS)
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