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Trump may gain from Nebraska – Harris may lose

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Trump may gain from Nebraska – Harris may lose

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The US election could be a close fight between Trump and Harris. A possible change in Nebraska could affect the outcome.

WASHINGTON – November 2024 is inexorably approaching – and the warm phase leading up to the US election is gradually getting underway in the US. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris want to win the presidential election.

After the TV battle between the two adversaries, Democrats and Republicans are now focusing more on their high-profile appearances, in which they try to win over groups of voters. When Americans vote in the 2024 U.S. election in early November, so-called swing states will be in particular focus — but the election could ultimately be decided in another state.

Just before the US election: Harris is campaigning in swing states

In the 2024 US election, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Georgia and Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona and Wisconsin are considered swing states. Harris knows this too, so he focuses his campaign on appearing in the same states.

The Democratic Party tries to set thematic pronouncements with media influence. In recent times, North Carolina in particular has been in the public interest. Joe Biden’s successor managed to gain significant ground here before the US election. On September 20, Harris’ campaign team launched a large-scale television campaign to further pressure Donald Trump over certain statements on the abortion ban.

Hot race ahead of US election: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. © Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP

During a visit to Wisconsin and after a speech in Georgia, current Vice President Harris also indicated that he wants to focus more attention on the life-threatening risks of the abortion ban in the final weeks before the US election. Recent polls for the 2024 US election have repeatedly shown that Harris could gain points on his issues against Trump in some states before the US election, but aside from the much-discussed swing states, another could turn out to be decisive for the election.

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Confrontation before US election: Nebraska could change its electoral system – long-term consequences for Harris

While U.S. election polls predict a close race between Harris and Trump, the way Nebraska counts in the election could ultimately make the difference between a Harris or Trump victory. Currently, only two states, Nebraska and Maine, split their Electoral College votes: the statewide winner gets two votes, and each candidate gets one vote for each congressional district they win.

But just weeks before the US election, voices in the Republican camp are pushing for a short-term change in the way votes are counted. A change to a “winner-take-all” system is being considered. This they report among other things The New York Times And Newsweek.

If the change happens before the election, only one district in the state can be decisive. Mike McDonnell, the lone Republican senator from Omaha, has so far staunchly resisted the push by former President Trump, Republicans nationally and the Nebraska Republican Party. But now it is uncertain whether he will give up.

2024 US Election Result: Harris vs. Trump – Few Votes Matter

If such a scenario were to occur, Donald Trump would receive the only electoral votes from Omaha and surrounding areas. It may not seem like much, but a vote will eventually tip the scales.

If Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin but loses Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, Omaha’s vote could mean the difference between a 270-268 Electoral College victory or a 269-269 tie. In the event of a tie, the House of Representatives will decide the winner.

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said Kevin Smith, political science professor at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. NewsweekHe doesn’t think state lawmakers will get enough votes to change the system. “Never say never, but it’s almost October, so the election is only a few months away. To pull this off in such a short period of time, you have to overcome some tough hurdles in Parliament,” the expert puts the initiative into perspective.

Change before US election 2024: Nebraska could affect election results for Trump

But change cannot be ruled out ahead of the US election: When asked NewsweekAsked if the Legislature had a deadline to pass the system change proposal, Nebraska Department of State press secretary Jackie Orada said: “If the Legislature passes a winning policy before the election, it will go into effect. If there is no objection, it is valid.

It will be a hot one in the US election campaign

Stay up-to-date with our free US Elections newsletter. Contributions from our renowned partners like the Washington Post bring you an American perspective. Translated into German. Click here to subscribe to the US Election Brief newsletter.

Donald Trump suggested changing the voting system in Nebraska to “winner-take-all” a few months before the US election – perhaps with shrewd foresight in case the race in the 2024 US election is closer than desired.

Ahead of the 2024 US election, the state decides whether to count disputed votes.

But it’s not just Nebraska where Republicans are trying to improve their chances of winning the 2024 US election. Over the objections of election officials and election workers, the Election Commission in Georgia, USA, has decided to count the votes cast in the polling booths for the November 2024 presidential election. Former US President Donald Trump’s allies enforced the rule on the commission.

CPAccording to S, if Trump loses again, Democrats fear that Republicans close to Trump will now set the stage for a new effort to challenge the election results. (fbu/dpa)

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